Calibration profile
Model-estimation accuracy and empirical calibration are tracked separately.
Insight
Building your calibration profile.
Scored predictions
0
Sample stage
BUILDING
Brier score
—
Low sample — early or building
Skipped
0
By prediction type
No predictions recorded yet.
Reliability chart
Average forecast vs. observed event frequency, grouped by band.
0–20n=0
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—
21–40n=0
—
—
41–60n=0
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—
61–80n=0
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81–100n=0
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Text alternative
- Band 0–20: 0 forecasts. Average forecast 0.0%. Observed frequency insufficient sample.
- Band 21–40: 0 forecasts. Average forecast 0.0%. Observed frequency insufficient sample.
- Band 41–60: 0 forecasts. Average forecast 0.0%. Observed frequency insufficient sample.
- Band 61–80: 0 forecasts. Average forecast 0.0%. Observed frequency insufficient sample.
- Band 81–100: 0 forecasts. Average forecast 0.0%. Observed frequency insufficient sample.
Brier score is used only for aggregate forecast-vs-outcome measurement. One resolved forecast is never a verdict on whether the estimate was reasonable.